President Jonathan's Performance Rating Declines by 5 points to 50% in November

Abuja, Nigeria. December 3rd, 2013 – Governance poll results released by NOIPolls Limited for the month of November has revealed that 50% of the Nigerian adult population (43.7m) approve of President Goodluck Jonathan’s performance in the past one month. This represents a 5-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that approved of the President’s performance from October (55%) to November (50%).More findings reveals that the majority (45%) are of the opinion that the current administration (the Executive Cabinet; Ministers and State Governors) performed averagely and the proportion that gave a positive rating of the current administration experienced a 3-Points decline from October (33%).Furthermore, the power situation has worsened considerably with a 13-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that experienced improvement from October (39%) to November (26%); this represents the lowest power rating in eleven months. These were the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of November 25th 2013.

The results presented are the eleventh in the monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding three crucial elements – the approval rating of the president, the performance of the current administration, and the situation of power supply in the country.

Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first question sought to gauge the perceptions of Nigerians on the job performance of the President Goodluck Jonathan. Respondents to the poll were asked: Do you approve of President Jonathan’s performance in the past 1 month? Reactions to this question revealed that half of adult Nigerians (50%) approve of President Jonathan’s performance in the past one month while 22% disapprove of his performance. In addition, 28% were indifferent about his performance as they neither approve nor disapprove of his performance. 

Analysing the performance rating across geo-political zone revealed that the South-East zone (74%) accounts for the largest proportion of respondents that approve of the President’s performance while the North-Westand the South-South zones with 26% each, account for the largest proportion of respondents that disapprove of the President’s performance in the month of November.

 

Monthly trend analysis of the President’s approval rating revealed a 5-point decline in the proportion that approved of the President’s performance from October (55%) to November (50%). Furthermore, the trend also shows that the president received higher ratings in the second half of the year than in the first half, with the best two ratings up to date in August (57%) and October (55%).

 

The second question aimed to assess the performance of the current administration. Respondents were asked:How would you rate the performance of this current administration in the past 1 month?  Findings from this question revealed that majority (45%) were of the opinion that the present administration performed averagely. While 30% (28%+2%) say they performed well, 25% (20%+5%) affirm they performed poorly.

Analysis based on geo-political zones reveals that the North-West (51%) has the largest proportion of respondents that gave the current administration an average performance rating. In addition, the South-East zone 43% (39%+4%) accounts for the largest proportion of respondents that gave the current administration a positive rating while the South-South zone 31% (26%+4%) had the largest proportion of respondents that gave a negative rating.

 

Again, a monthly trend of the current administration’s performance revealed a 3-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that approve of the performance of the current administration from October (33%). In addition, the trend also reveals that, the current administration also received better ratings in the second half of the year than in the first half with the best two ratings in August (35%) and October (33%)This follows the same trend as the President’s approval ratings. 

 

Finally, the third question sought to gauge the power situation in Nigeria within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? Analysis show that majority of the respondents (33%) say the power situation in Nigeria over the past one month “remains bad”, this is followed by 25% who affirm “there is no difference at all” and 23% who confirmed that it “has improved a little”. In addition, 16% claim “it’s very bad and has gone worse”, 3% affirmed “it has improved very much”.

A view across the geo-political zones revealed that the North-East (46%) zone accounts for the largest proportion of respondents that say the power situation in Nigeria over the past one month “remains bad”, while the South-South zone (34%) accounts for the largest proportion of respondents that experienced little improvement in the power situation over the past one month.

 

Looking at the 11 month trend of the power situation in Nigeria, the proportion of Nigerians that experienced improvement in their power supply declined considerably by 13-points from October (39%) to November. This is the worst rating of power over the past eleven months of 2013 and indicates a general worsened situation in power supply across Nigeria in spite of the recent privatisation drive.  

 

In conclusion, findings from this current poll have revealed that 50% of adult Nigerians approve of President Goodluck Jonathan’s performance in the past one month. This current rating represents a 5-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians that approved of the President’s performance from October (55%) to November (50%).More findings showed that majority (45%) are of the opinion that the present administration performed averagely and the proportion that gave a positive rating of the current administration declined by 3-Points from October (33%) to November (30%). In addition, power supply to households has worsened over the past two months with a considerable 13-points decline in the proportion of Nigerians that experienced improvement from October (39%) to November (26%). Furthermore, the lowest power rating in eleven months was recorded in November, which heralded the formal handover of power assets to the investors. 

Survey Methods

The opinion poll was conducted on November 25th to 27th2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise - within a range of plus or minus 3%. 

NOIPolls Limited is theNo.1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com
 
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