President Jonathan's Job Approval Rating at 53%; Power situation worsens in March
 

Abuja, Nigeria. April 1st, 2014 - Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of March 2014 have revealed that the slight majority of Nigerians (53%) approve of the job performance of President Jonathan, indicating a 2-point increase from his rating in February 2014. On the key elements of the transformation agenda, the President maintained an average ranking of 3 in Economy, Health, Agriculture, Transportation, Foreign Policy & Diplomacy. For Education, his ranking went from 1 (very poor) in February to 3 (Average) . The President also maintainedprevious ranking of 1 (Very poor) in Job creation, Power and Security.  The poll results also revealed that the situation of power nationwide worsened in March, majority of Nigerians54% (29%+25%) claimed that power has gone bad or worsened, with another 17% seeing no difference at all (a total of 71%). Regions worst hit were the South West (66%), South South (59%) and the North East (58%) with the highest proportions of respondents reporting bad/worsened power situation. This month shows an all-time low rating of power (29%: those who experienced an improvement) over the 15 month period NOIPolls has tracked improvements in household power supply nationwide. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in week of March 24th 2014.

This report presents the March 2014 results of the monthly governance poll conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and the state of power supply in the country.

Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to gauge the perception of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month?  From the results overall, a total of 53% of the respondents (41% + 12%) approve the performance of the president; while a total of 26% (19% +7%) disapprove of his performance. In addition, 21% were neutral saying they neither approved nor disapproved.

Analysis of the result by geo-political zone highlights differing opinions. The approval rating of the President is highest in the South-East (80% in total) and South-South (61% in total); and lowest in the North-East (39% in total).  Also, the South-West have the highest proportion of respondents that disapprove of the Presidents job performance with 37%. It is also pertinent to highlight that the North-East has the highest proportion (38%) of Nigerians who are neutral and neither approve or disapprove of the Presidents job performance.

 

Furthermore, when these findings are compared with the previous poll conducted in February 2014, there was a slight 2-point increase in the President’s job approval rating. Year on year analysis shows that current results represent a 7-point increment when compared to the President’s approval rating in March 2013 which was at 46%.

 

To assess the performance of the president on key areas of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Jonathan in the following areas?  (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture (7) Transportation (8) Foreign relations and (9) Security.   

On a scale of 1 to 5, the president had an average performance of 3 in Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food security, Transportation and Foreign policy & Diplomacy while on Job creation, Power and Security, the president was ranked which signifies a very poor performance. 

 

A comparison of findings over Q1 2014 reveals that the President’s performance rating on Education increased from 1 to 3 in March 2014.  Furthermore, his rating on Economy, Health, Agriculture & food security, Transportation and Foreign policy & diplomacy maintained an average of 3 ranking over the 3 months and his ranking on Job creation, Power and Security declined to 1 in the three month period.

 

Finally, in order to assess the situation of power in Nigeria within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? Current results show that the majority 54% (29%+25%) said that power has gone bad or worsened in the month of March. Furthermore, 29% (21%+8%) said that power had improved slightly or very much while 17% said “there’s no difference at all”.

Looking across the geo-political zones, the highest proportion of respondents that reported bad/worsened power supply was from the South-West region with 66% of respondents, followed by the South-South region with 59% and the North East region with 58%. Highest proportion that reported no difference at all was the North Central 29% and those who saw slight improvements were the North-West (28%) and South-East (30%) regions.

 

When these current findings are compared with the results obtained in February 2014, there was an 11-point decline in the proportion of respondents that experienced an improvement in the situation of power in March 2014. Over Q1 2014, Power has steadily declined to an all-time low rating of 29%. This indicates that 71% of Nigerian households have seen no improvement in their Power situation for the month of March.

 

In conclusion, the results from the current poll have revealed that the slight majority of Nigerians (53%) approve of the job performance of President Jonathan, indicating a 2-point increase from his rating in February 2014. On the key elements of the transformation agenda, the President maintained an average ranking of 3 in Economy, Health, Agriculture, Transportation, Foreign Policy & DiplomacyFor Education, his ranking went from 1 (very poor) in February to 3 (Average) . The President also maintained previous ranking of 1 (Very poor) in Job creation, Power and Security. 

The poll results also revealed that the situation of power nationwide worsened in March, majority of Nigerians 54% (29%+25%) claimed that power has gone bad or worsened, with another 17%seeing no difference at all (a total of 71%). Regions worst hit were the South West (66%), South South (59%) and the North East (58%) with the highest proportions of respondents reporting bad/worsened power situation. This month shows an all-time low rating of power (29%: those who experienced an improvement) over the 15 month period NOIPolls has tracked improvements in household power supply nationwide.
 
Survey Methods
The opinion poll was conducted in March 24th to 26th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise - within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com
 
Disclaimer
This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published.
 
NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking.
 
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