President Jonathan's Approval Rating at 49%; Drops 4-points From March 2014.

Abuja, Nigeria. May 6th, 2014 - Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of April 2014 revealed that less than half of the adult Nigerian population (49%) approve of the job performance of President Goodluck Jonathan; this represents a 4-point decline from March 2014 and a 1-point drop from his 16-month average (50%). More findings revealed that based on the transformation agenda, the President has maintained a "very poor" ranking on his performance in Security, Power and Job Creation, while maintaining average ranking on Economy, Education, Foreign Policy & Diplomacy, Health, Agriculture & Food Security and Transportation. Furthermore, the poll revealed that the situation of power nationwide still shows no improvement in April 2014, as 71% of Nigerians affirmed that power supply to their households have worsened/seen no difference over the past one month; the same rating from March2014 following a continuous decline since January 2014. Similarly, the South-South region was reported to have experienced the worst supply of power (75%), followed by the South-West (57%), South-East (51%), North-West (51%), North East (44%), and North-Central  regions(41%). These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in week of April 28th 2014.

These results represent the fourth in the 2014 monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the Presidentthe performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agendaand the state of power supply in the country.
 
Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to gauge the perception of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month?   Findings reveal that majority of respondents49% (39%+10%) approve of the President’s performance where 39% approve and 10% strongly approve of his performance. In addition, 37% (28%+9%) of the respondents disapprove of the President’s performance while 14% were neutral since they neither approve nor disapprove.
 
Analyzing the President’s performance from the geo-political zone standpoint reveals that theSouth-East zone (69%: 13%+56%) has the highest proportion of respondents that approve of the President’s job performance; the North-West zone (52%: 42%+10%) accounts for the largest percentage of respondents that disapprove of the president’s job performance while theSouth-South zone (18%) has the highest proportion of Nigerians who are neutral.

 

Monthly trend analysis of the President’s approval rating reveals fluctuations in the President’s approval rating over the four-month period. Results from January reveal a downward trend and current results show a 4-point decline in the proportion that approved of the President’s performance. Year on year analysis shows that current results represent a 7-point increase compared to April 2013 when it stood at 42%.

 

To evaluate the performance of the President on crucial areas of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Jonathan in the following areas?  (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security. The President was rated average in terms of his performance on Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy, while the President was rated very poor in terms of his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security.

 

Trend analysis reveals that the President’s performance rating on Economy, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy maintained an average ranking over the four-month period. However the President has been rated very poor in terms of his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security over the past three consecutive months from February to April 2014.

 

Finally, in order to assess the situation of power supply to Nigerian households within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? Current results show that the majority (33%) stated that “it’s very bad and has gone worse”. In addition, 24% affirmed that their power supply “has improved a little” while 21% of the respondents were of the opinion that power supply “remains bad”. Furthermore, 17% of Nigerians claim “there’s no difference at all” while 5% expressed that “it has improved very much” in the month of April 2014.

An evaluation across the geo-political zones reveals that the North-Central zone has the largest percentage (42%: 9%+33%) of respondents that indicated  power supply improved  while the North-East zone (30%) has the highest fraction of Nigerians that claim there’s no difference at all. In addition, the South-South zone (75%: 20%+55%) has the highest proportion of respondents that claim power supply worsened over the past one month.

 

Again, a four-month trend analysis on power from January to April reveals a continuous decline in the proportion of Nigerians that experienced an improvement in the state of power from January (44%) to March (29%) and remained constant in April 2014.

 

In conclusion, April 2014 results have revealed that 49% of adult Nigerians approve of the job performance of the President over the past month; this figure represents a 4-point decline in his approval rating from March 2014 (53%). More findings revealed that the President had an average ranking in his performance on Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy while he was ranked very poor in his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security. Furthermore, 29% of Nigerians experienced an improvement in power supply over the past one month; the same rating from March 2014 after a continuous decline from January 2014. 

 
Survey Methods
The opinion poll was conducted in April 28th to 30th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise - within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com
 
Disclaimer
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NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking.
 
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