President Jonathan's Approval Rating Up By 9-Points to 58% In May 2014

Abuja, Nigeria. June 3rd, 2014 - Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of May 2014 revealed that 58% of adult Nigerians approve of the job performance of the President over the past month; indicating a 9-point increase in his approval rating from April 2014 which stood at 49%. This rating represents the second highest in the 17-month period that NOIPolls has been conducting its monthly governance poll from January 2013.  The increase in the President’s approval rating was mainly as a result of the substantial increase observed in those that approve of the President’s performance in the South-EastSouth-South and South-Westzones. The President has maintained an average ranking in his performance on Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy, while his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security remains very poor. Furthermore, in May 2014 more Nigerians (42%) experienced an overall improvement in power supply over the past one month as against 29% in April. The largest proportion of respondents who saw an improvement in their power supply were situated in the South-East and South-Southzones; a marked 23-point and 20-point increase respectively, which also accounted for the highest positive rating for the President. Findings from the poll also indicate that though there has been an improvement in power supply for the month of May, Nigerians are still not satisfied with the quantity of power supply to their households. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in week of May 26th 2014.

 
These results represent the fifth in the 2014 monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the Presidentthe performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agendaand the state of power supply in the country.
 
Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first question sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? The results depicts that the majority (58%: 46%+12%) of Nigerians approve of the president’s performance; where 46%approve and 12% strongly approve of the President’s performance. A total of 26% (21%+5%) of respondents indicated disapproval of the president’s performance while 16% remain neutral as they neither approve nor disapprove.
 
Examining the President’s performance by geo-political zones reveals that the South-East zone(90%: 26%+64%) has the highest proportion of respondents who approve of the President’s job performance. The North-West zone accounts for the largest ratio of respondents that were neutral and disapprove of the president’s job performance with 27% and 38% respectively.
 
It is pertinent to note that there was a considerable 21-points; 16-point and 12-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians from the South-EastSouth-South and South-West zones respectively who approve of the President’s performance in May from April. Similarly, there was a substantial 14-point decrease in the proportion of Nigerians from the North-West zone who disapprove of the president’s performance from April (52%) to May (38%).

 

Monthly trend evaluation of the President’s approval rating reveals that the President’s approval rating picked up in May by 9-points after a downward trend in April. This figure also represents the second highest in the 17-month period that NOIPolls started conducting monthly governance polls dating back to January 2013. The President’s performance rating peaked at61% in January 2014Please click on the chart below to view the 17-month Approval trend analysis (January 2013 - May 2014)

 

To evaluate the performance of the President on crucial areas of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Jonathan in the following areas?  (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security. The President was rated average in terms of his performance on Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy, while the President was rated very poor in terms of his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security. These 3 key elements of his transformation agenda have remained very poor since February 2014.

 

Trend analysis reveals that the President’s performance rating on Economy, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy maintained an average ranking over the five-month period with the exception of Education which was rated very poor in February. On the other hand, the President’s performance rating on Job Creation, Power and Security remained very poor over four months since February 2014.

 

Finally, the third question sought to establish the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month. Respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month?   The results indicate that the slight majority (45%: 24%+21%)stated their power supply “remains bad” and “it’s very bad, has gone worse”. This is followed by42% (29%+13%) who experienced little or very much improvement in the state of power supply. In addition, 13% reported “there’s no difference at all”. 

An assessment of power across the geo-political zone shows that the South-East zone has the largest percentage (52%) of respondents that experienced an improved power supply. This is followed by North-Central zone with 47% and the North-West zone with 46%. Also, the South-South zone accounts for the highest proportion (55%) of Nigerians who experienced poor power supply, followed by the North-East zone with 53%.

 

Trend analysis over the five-month period indicates that the proportion of Nigerians who experienced improvement picked up by 13-points from April to May 2014. This figure obtained in May represents the second highest in the five month period from January 2014. The highest improvement in power is seen in the South-East and South-South zones with 23-point and20-point increase respectively from April to May 2014.

Furthermore, it is pertinent to note that while there was an increase in the proportion of Nigerians that experienced an improvement in power supply, the president still received a very poor rating in his performance on power. This indicates that though there has been an improvement, overall Nigerians are still not satisfied with power supply to their households.

 

In conclusion, the governance poll results have revealed that 58% of adult Nigerians approve of the job performance of the President over the past month; a substantial 9-point increase in his approval rating from April 2014 which stood at 49%Also, this figure represents the second highest in the 17-month series of the President’s approval rating since January 2013. More findings revealed that the President maintained an average ranking in his performance on Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy while he was ranked very poor in his performance on Job Creation, Power and Securitythe President’s rating on these variables has remained the same over the past three months. Furthermore, the results indicate that there was a 13-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that experienced an overall improvement in power supply (42%) over the past one month as against 29% in April 2014.

Finally, the increase in the president’s job performance can be linked with the improvement in power supply experienced by Nigerians across the country. Previous governance polls conducted by NOIPolls have established there is often a link between power supply to households and the President’s job approval rating.
 
Survey Methods
The opinion poll was conducted in May 26th to 27th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise - within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com
 
Disclaimer
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NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking.
 
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