Slight Decline in President Jonathan's Approval Rating; 57% in June 2014.

Abuja, Nigeria. July 1st, 2014 - Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of June 2014 revealed that57% of adult Nigerians approve of the performance of the President over the past month; a slight 1-point decline in his job approval rating from May 2014 when it stood at 58%.  Similar to results obtained in May, the President’s current rating was greatly impacted by the remarkably high approval rating in the South East (91% in June 2014). Additional findings from the June governance poll revealed that the President maintained an average ranking for his performance on sectors such as the Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy. However, he maintained a very poor ranking for his performance on Job Creation, Power and SecurityFurthermoreslightly more than half of the respondents (52%) indicated power supply to their households over the past month was either bad and/or it had gone worse; a 7-point increase from May 2014. Ironically, while the South East zone experienced the worst supply of power to households (61%), the zone remains responsible for the president's high job approval rating. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in week of June 23rd 2014.
 
These results represent the sixth in the 2014 monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the Presidentthe performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agendaand the state of power supply in the country.
 
Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to assess the views of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month?  The findings revealed that the majority of the respondents (45%) approve of the performance of the President, while 17% disapprove of his performance. 15% of the respondents remained neutral as they neither approve nor disapprove,12% of respondents strongly approve of his performance, while 11% strongly disapprove of his performance.  
 
Assessing the President’s performance from the geo-political zone perspective revealed that theSouth-East zone with 91% (20%+71%) has the highest proportion of respondents who approve of the President’s job performance and this had a great impact on the overall rating of the President. The North-West zone accounts for the largest proportion of respondents who disapprove of the President’s job performance with 42% (24%+18%).

 

Monthly trend assessment of the President’s approval rating reveals that the President’s approval rating declined slightly by 1-point to 57% in June 2014; the third highest rating since January 2014. The results also indicate that the North-Central zone experienced the largest increase (12-points) in the percentage of respondents who approve of the president’s overall performance in June (66%) from May 2014. Please click on the chart below to view the 18-month Approval trend analysis (January 2013 - June 2014)

 

To gauge the performance of the president on pertinent elements of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Jonathan in the following areas?  (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign Policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security. The President was rated average in terms of his performance in Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy. On the other hand, his ratings on Job Creation, Power and Security have remained very poor. These 3 key elements of his transformation agenda have persistently maintained a very poor rating since February 2014, implying that Nigerians are not satisfied and want the president to be more proactive on the issues of Job creation, Power and Security.

 

Monthly trend analysis reveals that the President’s performance rating on Economy, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy maintained an average ranking for the sixth month excluding Education which was rated very poor in February. Also, the President has been rated very poor in terms of his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security since February.

 

Finally, the third question sought to establish the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month, therefore, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month?   The results indicate that slightly more than half(52%: 35%+17%) of the respondents described power supply to their household negatively over the past month. This is made up of 17% that claim “it remains bad”; while 35% claim “it’s very bad and has gone to worse”. Furthermore, 32% (26%+6%) of Nigerians claim they have experienced an improvement in power supply, while 16% of the respondents say “there’s no difference” in the state of power supply to their households in June 2014.

An assessment across the geo-political zones revealed that the North-Central zone has the largest percentage (39%) of respondents who experienced an improved power supply and also respondents who saw no difference at all. In addition, the South-East zone has the highest number of respondents (61%) that experienced poor supply of power in June 2014.

 

Monthly trend analysis on power supply revealed a significant 10-point decline in the proportion of Nigerians who experienced an improvement in power supply to their households from May 2014, indicating a general decline in the state of power supply across that country in June 2014. The South-East zone recorded the lowest proportion of respondents (20%) who saw an improvement in power supply in the month June 2014 as against 52% in the month of May 2014. Please click on the chart below to view the 18-month Power Improvement trend analysis (January 2013 - June 2014)

 

In conclusion, the current poll results have revealed that 57% of adult Nigerians approve of the job performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past month; a slight 1-point decline in his approval rating from May 2014. Despite the poor power supply in June 2014, as evidenced by the 7-point increase in the proportion of those that experienced declining power supply to their households, the President’s approval rating remains at 57% due to the exceptionally high approval rating he continues to enjoy in the South-East (91%).

                                                   
Survey Methods
The opinion poll was conducted in June 23th to 24th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise - within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com
 
Disclaimer
This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published.
 
NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgement as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking.
 
Press Contact
The Editor
Email: editor@noi-polls.com