President Jonathan's Job Approval Rating Peaks At 62% in July 2014

Abuja, Nigeria. August 5th, 2014 - Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month ofJuly 2014 revealed that 62% of adult Nigerians surveyed approve of the job performance of the President over the past month. This rating portrays a 5-points increase from June 2014 and represents the highest rating in the 19 month period that NOIPolls started monthly governance polls in January 2013. The increase in the president’s rating is largely due to the highly positive ratings recorded in the South-East and South-South zones with 80%each. More findings revealed that the President received an average ranking for his performance on Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy, while he was ranked very poor for his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security. The results also disclosed that slightly more than half (51%) of adult Nigerians surveyed reported that power supply in their area “It remains bad” , “It’s very bad and has gone worse”; and the South-East and South-South zones accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who experienced poor supply of power in July 2014 with 60% each. In addition 33%stated “It has improved very much” and “It has improved a little” within the last one month; this represents a 1-point increase in this group from June 2014. These were some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of July 21st 2014.


These results represent the seventh in the 2014 monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and the state of power supply in the country.

Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to evaluate the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? Results show that 62% (19%+43%) of adult Nigerians approve of the President’s performance, whereas a total 25% (17%+8%) of the respondents surveyed disapprove of the President’s performance. In addition, 13% remained neutral as they neither approve nor disapprove.

Assessing the President’s performance by geo-political zones discloses that at least half of the respondents across all geo-political zones approved of the President’s performance in July 2014. The South-East and the South-South zones accounted for the largest fraction of respondents who approve of the President’s job performance(80% each). The North-West zone and the South-West zone have the highest number of respondents who were neutral with 15% each. Also, the North-West has the largest proportion of respondents who disapprove of the President’s job performance with 35%.

 

Monthly trend analysis of the President’s approval rating reveals that July recorded the highest (62%) approval rating of the President so far for 2014 and also represents the highest rating since NOIPolls started the monthly governance polls in January 2013. In addition the average rating of the President’s job performance over the seven months in 2014 stands at 55.9% and current results are 6.1 points higher than the average.

 

To gauge the performance of the President on pertinent elements of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Jonathan in the following areas?  (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign Policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security.   The President recorded an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy. On the contrary, the President was rated very poor (1) in terms of Job Creation, Power and Security. These 3 key elements of his transformation agenda have been rated very poor since February 2014.

 

Trend analysis shows that the President’s performance rating on Economy, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy have maintained an average ranking (3) since February 2014 except Education which was rated very poor in February. On the other hand, the President’s performance rating on Job Creation, Power and Security remained very poor (1) since February 2014.

 

Finally, to ascertain the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month?   The results reveal that 51% (31%+20%) of adult Nigerians surveyed reported that power supply in their area gave the responses  “remains bad” and “it’s very bad has gone worse” while  33% (5%+28%) stated that “it has improved very much” and “it has improved a little” within the last one month. Furthermore, 16% stated “there’s no difference at all”.

 
From the geo-political zone standpoint, the North-Central zone has the highest number of respondents (40%) that experienced improved power supply, whereas the North-East zone has the greatest share (21%) of respondents who experienced no difference at all in the past one month. In addition, the South-East and South-South zones accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who experienced poor supply of power within the last one month with 60% each.

 

The monthly trend analysis reveals that the state of power remained almost steady with a slight1-point increase in the proportion of respondents who saw improvement in power supply inJuly 2014. Based on geo-political zones, the highest increase in improvement in power was observed in the North-West zones which witnessed a 6-point increase from June to July 2014. The average proportion of respondents who saw improvement in the power supply fromJanuary to July 2014 is currently recorded at 35.6% and the current result is 2.6-points below the yearly average till date.

 

In conclusion, the governance poll results have revealed that 62% of adult Nigerians surveyed approve of the job performance of the President over the past month signifying a 5-pointsincrease from June 2014. This rating represents the highest rating in the monthly governance poll since January 2014. The increase in the President’s rating is as a result of the moderate approval across all geo-political zones and more especially the high approval rating in the South-East and South-South zones. More findings reveal that the President had an average ranking in his performance on Economy, Education, Health, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy while he was ranked very poorly in his performance on Job Creation, Power and Security. Additionally, results discloses that slightly more than half (51%) of adult Nigerians surveyed reported that power supply in their area “remains bad”, “it’s very bad or “has gone worse” while  33% stated that “it has improved very much” and “it has improved a little” within the last one month. Furthermore, 16% were of the opinion that “there’s no difference at all”.

 
Survey Methods
The opinion poll was conducted in July 21st 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise - within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No.1 for country-specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com
 
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NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking.
 
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