Abuja, Nigeria. December 2nd, 2014 – Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls for the month of November 2014 revealed that 60% of adult Nigerians surveyed approved of the President’s job performance in the past 1 month; consistent with the 60% job approval rating recorded in October 2014. On the contrary 27% disapproved of the President’s performance while 13% neither approved nor disapproved of his performance as they remained neutral. Additionally, an evaluation of the President’s performance on key elements of his transformation agenda revealed a very good rating (4) in Health for the first time since January 2014. Also, the President performed averagely (3) in terms of his performance in Job Creation, Economy, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy except for Security (1)and Power (1) in which he performed poorly. More finding indicated that 17% of adult Nigerians interviewed reported that power supply to their households ‘has improved very much’ while 30% acknowledged that ‘it has improved a little’ within the last one month. On the other hand, a further 19% of the respondents stated that power supply has “remained bad’ while 16% claimed “it’s very bad and has gone worse”. Furthermore, 18%indicated “there’s no difference at all” with regards to their power supply since it has neither improved nor worsened over the past one month. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Pollconducted in the week of November 24th 2014.
These results represent the eleventh in the 2014 monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regardingthe approval rating of the President, the performance of the President on key elements of his transformation agenda, and the state of power supply in the country.
Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. The first sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? The result revealed that 60% (24%+36%) of adult Nigerians surveyed approved of the President’s job performance in the past 1 month. On the other hand, 27% (18%+9%) disapproved of the President’s job performance whereas, 13% neither approved nor disapproved of his performance.
Assessing the President’s performance by geo-political zones indicated that the South-East zone accounted for the largest fraction (81%) of respondents who approve of the President’s job performance, followed by theSouth-South zone with 75% while the North-Central zone had 66% approving of his performance. Furthermore, responses when analysed by gender revealed that more female (66%) than male respondents(56%) approved of the president’s job rating, while analysis by age group revealed that respondents aged between 18 – 21 years accounted for the highest proportion of respondents who approved the President’s job performance in November 2014.
Monthly trend analysis of the President’s approval rating reveals that the President’s approval rating remained constant at 60% in November 2014. This rating has remained the same after the significant 14-points decline in approval rating recorded in September 2014. In addition, the average rating of the President’s job performance over the eleven months in 2014 stands at 58.7% while the current result is slightly higher than the eleven months average (1.3-points).
To gauge the performance of the President on pertinent elements of his transformation agenda, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) Power (3) Economy (4) Health (5) Education (6) Agriculture & Food Security (7) Transportation (8) Foreign Policy & Diplomacy and (9) Security. The outcome reveals that the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in Job Creation, Economy, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy while in Security and Power he was given a (1) rating representing a poor performance. These central components of the President’s transformation agenda have remained very poor in spite of the priority the administration has given to security and power. Additionally, for the first time since January 2014 health was given a very good rating of (4), signifying that Nigerians perceive that the President is performing well in this aspect of his transformation agenda. This can be expected following the governments response to the Ebola Virus Disease that resulted in the successful containment of the virus and Nigeria being certified Ebola free by the World Health Organization.
Trend assessment indicates that the President’s performance rating on Economy, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy has maintained an average ranking (3) since January 2014 while other aspects of his transformation agenda has been fluctuating (both below and above average). Health scored above average (4)attributing it to the relative calm noticed in the sector. On the contrary, the President’s performance rating on Security has remained very poor (1) since February 2014 and this is the only aspect of his transformation agenda that has constantly been rated poorly after it was ranked above average (4) in January 2014.
Finally, to determine the state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past month respondents were asked: How would you describe power supply in your area in the last 1 month? Responses reveal that 17% of adult Nigerians reported that power supply to their households ‘has improved very much’ while30% acknowledged that ‘it has improved a little’ within the last one month. On the other hand, 19% of the respondents surveyed stated that power supply has “remained bad’ while 16% claimed “it’s very bad and has gone worse”, while Also, 18% recorded “there’s no difference at all” suggesting their power supply neither improved nor worsened over the past one month.
Analysis by gender reveals that more female (50%) than male respondents (45%) claimed they experienced an improvement in power supply in their area. However, slightly more male (37%) than female (32%) described the power supply in the area over the past one month as inadequate.
Monthly trend assessment reveals a substantial 11-points increase in the proportion of respondents that experienced an improvement in power supply to their households in November 2014. The average rating over the past 11 months January to November 2014 is 39.5%, while the current rating for the month of November is 7.5 points above the overall yearly average.
In conclusion, 6 in 10 adult Nigerian approved of the President’s job performance in the past 1 month; the same proportion that approved of his job performance in the previous month of October . On the other hand, 27%disapproved of the President’s performance while 13% remained neutral. Furthermore, an evaluation of the President’s performance on key elements of his transformation agenda revealed that he achieved a very good rating (4) in Health for the first time since January 2014. According to result findings, the President performed averagely (3) in in Job Creation, Economy, Education, Agriculture & Food Security, Transportation and Foreign Policy & Diplomacy while he performed poorly in Security and Power receiving a (1) rating respectively. Finally, 47% of Nigerians surveyed acknowledged that they experienced an improvement in power supply in their household thus representing an 11-point increase from October 2014.
The opinion poll was conducted in the week of November 24th 2014. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise - within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com
This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published.
NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking.
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[ME1]Suggestion: The results indicate that the President’s job performance for the month of November is slightly higher when compared across the 11months (1.3 points).