Abuja, Nigeria. July 9th, 2015– Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls, for the job approval rating of President Muhammadu Buhari over the past one month revealed that 70 percent of the respondents approve of President Muhammadu’s job performance. Nigerians in this category mentioned reasons such as security has improved (20 percent), he hasgood intentions (16 percent), and stability ofelectricity (15 percent) among others.This result represents the first rating for President Muhammadu Buhari as Presdient of the Federal Republic. On the other hand only 12 percent of respondents disapproved of his performance over 30 days attributing it to reasons such as; nothing has changed yet and it is too early to evaluate. The high approval ratings indicate a high level of positive perception adult Nigerians have in the new President.
In addition, the deterioriating power situation in the country seem to have improved by a whopping 27 points up to 44 percent (June 2015) from 17 percent (May 2015) as Nigerians claimed to have experienced more improvement in the month of June 2015. By contrast, only 17 percent of respondents acknowledged there is no improvement while 22 percent stated that there is no difference at all in power supply in June 2015. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of June 29th 2015.
Brief Background
Nigerians are of high expectations from the new administration and the changes that will go with it. This was revealed when NOIPolls Limited in partnership with BusinessDay Media conducted a Democracy Day Special Poll which indicated that Nigerians would like the new government to mainly focus on ‘Power’ (55 percent), ‘Security’ (41 percent) and ‘Education’ (34 percent) among other sectors; in order to inprove the general wellbing of citizens and the nation as a whole.[1]
The inaugural speech of President Mohammadu Buhari could rightly be described as remarkable and very promising as the President laid out a very powerful agenda for his administration. Nonetheless, its success within the next four years would be determined by its ability to capture all of the key areas Nigerians expect the President to mostly focus on.
Against this background, NOIPolls conducted the first approval rating for President Muhammadu Buhari’job performance during his first 30 Days in Office as the President of Federal Republic of Nigeria.
The poll was conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regardingthe approval rating of the President (First 30 Days in office)and the current state of power supply in the country.
Respondents to the poll were asked two specific questions. The first sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Muhammadu Buhari after 30 days in office. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Muhammadu Buhari in the past 1 month?The outcome revealed that 70 percent of Nigerians surveyed approved of President Muhammadu’s job performance in June 2015 (First 30 Days in office). On the contrary, 12 percent of the respondents disapproved, whereas 18 percent of the respondents were neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved of the President’s job performance.
An assessment of the President’s job performance by geo-political zone showed that the North-East zone (87 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who approved of the President’s job performance. The South-East zone (22 percent) accounted for the greater portion of respondents who disapproved of the President’s job performance. In addition, the South-South zone accounted for the largest fraction of respondents who were neutral with 26 percent.
When asked for reasons for approving the President’s performance after 30 days in office, 20 percent of the respondents mentioned that security had improved, 16 percent thoughthe hasgood intentions, and 15 percent mentioned the current stability ofelectricity. Of those that disapproved the President, 73 percent stated that nothing has changed yet, whilst 15 percent thought it is too early to evaluate among others as their reasons for disapproving president’s performance.
It is worthy to note that, the analysis of approval rating of the job performance of Nigerian Presidents from 2007-2015 (first 30 days in office) reveals that Late President Yar’Adua has the highest ranking at 82 percent followed by President Good luck Jonathan (78 percent), while the Incumbent president (President Muhammadu) starts with 70 percent.
The state of power supply to Nigerian households over the past one month was also measured, respondents were asked: How would you describe a power supply in your area in the last 1 month? Power supply to Nigerian households improved over the past one month as reported by 44 percent of the repondents surveyed. On the contrary, only 17 percent of respondents acknowledged there is no improvement in power supply while 22 percent stated that there is no difference at all in power supply in June 2015.
Evaluation of the state of power by geo-political zone revealed that the Norh-East zone (52 percent) accounted for the largest proportion of respondents who experienced improved power supply, while the South-East zone (52 percent) has the larger number of Nigerians who reported there was no difference at all, whereas, South-South zone (52 percent) accounted for the greater portion of respondents who claimed that power supply worsened within the last one month.
The monthly trend evaluation revealed 27-point increase in power supply in June 2015 which signifies the highest power rating since January, 2015.
In conclusion, about 7 in 10 (70 percent) Nigerians surveyed approve of President Muhammadu’s job performance in June 2015 (First 30 Days in Office). On the other hand, a total of 12 percent of the respondents disapproved of his job performance, whereas 18 percent of the respondents were neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved of the President’s job performance.
Further analysis revealed that respondents mentioned that Security has improved (20 percent), he hasgood intentions and he is good so far (16 percent), and stability ofelectricity (15 percent) among others as reasons for approving President’s performance after 30 days in office.
In addition, power supply to Nigerian households improved over the past one month as recounted by 44 percent. On the other hand, 17 percent of respondents agreed there is no improvement while 22 percent confirmed there is no difference at all in power supply in June 2015.
Survey Methods
The opinion poll was conducted in the week of June 29th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com
Disclaimer
This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published.
NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking.
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[1] http://www.noi-polls.com/root/index.php?pid=328&ptid=1&parentid=12
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