Abuja, Nigeria. November 10th, 2015– Latest governance poll results released by NOIPolls have revealed that the President’s approval rating for October 2015 stood at 80 percent. This represents a 2-points increase from September 2015 (78 percent) and a 10-points increase from June 2015 (70 percent) when his first job performance was appraised. This rating is the second highest approval rating since NOIPolls started its governance poll in 2007 where late President Yar’Adua attained an approval rating of 82 percent. The overall increase in his job performance in October 2015 is mostly seen across 3 geo-political zones; the North-West (92 percent), South-East (71 percent) and South-West (84 percent) with the South-East zone (14-points) for the first time recording the largest increase in the number of respondents who approved the president’s job performance.
Further findings indicate that the increase in the President’s job performance is mostly centred on the perceived ‘improved electricity supply’ (21 percent) and ‘improved security’ (17 percent) across the country amongst other reasons. Conversely, most respondents who disapproved his job performance claimed that ‘there hasn’t been any realistic change in governance’ (61 percent) among others reasons. Furthermore, the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in National Security, Education, Healthcare, Infrastructure, Conflict Resolution, and Agriculture and Food Security, while he performed poorly in Job creation.
Also, the larger proportion (62 percent) of Nigerians surveyed reported that electricity supply to their household has improved over the past one month and this represents a 7-points decrease when compared to September 2015. In addition, 17 percent of Nigerians experienced no difference at all in electricity supply, while 21 percent claimed that electricity supply to their households has worsened within the past one month. These are some of the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of October 26th 2015.
These results represent the fifth approval rating for President Muhammadu Buhari’s job performance and the tenth in the 2015 monthly series of governance polls, conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding the approval rating of the President, and the current state of electricity supply in the country.
Respondents to the poll were asked four specific questions. The first sought to assess the opinion of Nigerians on the performance of President Mhammadu Buhari over the past 1 month. Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the job performance of President Buhari in the past 1 month? Findings revealed that 80 percent (46 percent + 34 percent) of adult Nigerians interviewed approved of the President’s job performance. On the contrary, 7 percent (5 percent + 2 percent) disapproved of his performance, while 13 percent remained neutral as they neither approved nor disapproved.
More analysis on the President’s performance by geo-political zones indicated that the North-West zone (92 percent: 57 percent + 35 percent) and North-East zone (87 percent: 48 percent + 39 percent) had the highest percentage of respondents who approved of the President’s job performance. On the other hand, the South-South zone (17 percent: 13 percent + 4 percent) and South-East zone (13 percent: 8 percent + 5 percent) had the largest proportion of respondents who disapproved of the President’s job performance.
Respondents were further asked to state their reasons for either approving or disapproving the President’s performance. To this effect, Nigerians cited ‘Improved electricity supply’ (21 percent), the perceived ‘improved security’ (17 percent) and the President’s ‘campaign against corruption’ (10 percent) amongst other reasons were responsible for the approval of the President’s job performance. On the contrary, respondents who disapprove the job performance were of the opinion that ‘there haven’t been any viable changes in governance’ (61 percent). Thistopped the lists of reasons given by Nigerians for disapproving the President’s job performance in October 2015. Also, 15 percent cited ‘worsened electricity supply’, while 11 percent stated ‘delay in salary payments’ among others reasons.
Monthly trend analysis on the President’s performance rating in October 2015 reveals a 2-points increase in the President’s approval rating which stood at 80 percent. This represents the second best approval ratings when compared with former Presidents with the best rating recorded during Late President Umar Musa Yar’adua administration where he attained the highest ratings of 82 percent in November 2007.
Trend analysis by geo-political zones revealed a balance in the general increase in the president’s approval rating in the South-East (14-points), South-West (9-points) and North-West (2-points) and a decrease in the South-South (11-points), North-East (7-points) and North-Central (4-points) between August 2015 and October 2015.
To evaluate the performance of the President on some key indicators of the economy of the country, respondents were asked: On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is very poor and 5 is excellent, how would you rate the performance of the President Buhari in the following areas? (1) Job Creation (2) National Security (3) Education (4) Healthcare (5) Infrastructure (6) Conflict Resolution (7) Agriculture & Food Security. The outcome shows that the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in aforementioned key areas except in Job creation, where he performed poorly (1).
Finally, to find out the state of electricity supply to Nigerian households over the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe electricity supply in your area in the last 1 month? Findings revealed that the larger proportion (62 percent: 29 percent + 33 percent) of Nigerians reported that electricity supply to their household improved in the last one month. 17 percent indicated that there was no difference at all, while 21 percent (15 percent + 6 percent) asserted that electricity supply to their households within the past one month has remained bad.
Analysis by geo-political zone revealed that the North-West (82 percent: 47 percent + 35 percent) and North-East zones (69 percent: 42 percent + 27 percent) accounted for the larger proportion of Nigerians who experienced an improvement in electricity supply, whereas the South-East (33 percent: 24 percent + 9 percent) and South-South zones (30 percent: 23 percent + 7 percent) accounted for the larger ratio of Nigerians who reported a poor state of electricity supply to their households over the past month.
In conclusion, 8 in 10 Nigerians approved the President’s job performance in October 2015. Also, the President achieved an average (3) rating in terms of his performance in National Security, Education, Healthcare, Infrastructure, Conflict Resolution, Agriculture and Food Security but he performed poorly in Job creation. Finally, majority (62 percent) of Nigerians surveyed reported that electricity supply to their household has improved over the past one month.
Survey Methods
The opinion poll was conducted in the week of October 26th 2015. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa. We conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com
Disclaimer
This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published.
NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking.
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