Abuja, Nigeria. February 12th, 2015 –The Portfolio of Indices report released by NOIPolls Limited for the month of January 2015 reveals that the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI) increased by 1-points to stand at 47.7-points. This figure represents a 3.7-points increase when compared to January 2014.Furthermore, the Achievement Index and the Economic are the only indicators that experienced a slight decline of 0.1-points and 0.7-points in January 2015 respectively. Furthermore, the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index decreased by 6-points to 61.4-points in January 2015 from December 2014. The Present Situation Index (PSI) experienced a huge decline of 22.2-points whereas, the Expectation Index (EI) increased by 6.2-point in January 2015. These are the key highlights from the January 2015 Portfolio of Indices Press Release.
In February 2014, NOIPolls Limited introduced its portfolio of indices; the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI), the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and the NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index (EBCI). The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index measures factors impacting on the lives of everyday Nigerians; thereby producing a complete view of the individual’s personal well-being. The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index provides consumer assessments of the economic situation and their intentions and expectations for the future. The NOIPolls Eagle 30 Business Confidence Index measures business leaders’ perceptions and expectations about the Nigerian business environment using the top 30 companies in the country.
Nigerian businesses, financial and government agencies largely depend on their perceptions and micro assessment of consumers’ expectation in making decisions. At best, they draw conclusion on the business environment based on information from their immediate surroundings while the minorities conduct surveys that are time and money consuming. However, the introduction of these indices provides indicators that will ensure stakeholders can detect and respond to changes in consumer behavior, the economy, and the business environment in Nigeria.
This report presents the January 2015 results for the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI) and NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI).
The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI
The NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index for January 2015 increased by 1-point to stand at 47.7-points. This result represents a 3.7-points increase when compared to January 2014. Analysis of the individual indicators reveals variances in perception and satisfaction of Nigerians on several attribute of their lives. Nigerians are most satisfied in terms of Physical Health (79.6-points), Social Interaction (81.5-points),andReligion(91.9-points). Nigerians are rather neutral in terms of Standard of Living (58.2-points),Achievement in Life(57.1-points) and Personal Security (62.9-points), while Nigerians are not satisfied with their Personal Economic Situation (44.5-points). This index has for over thirteen months remained the lowest ranked indicator.
Trend analysis indicates that only 2 of the indicators (Achievement index (0.1-point) andEconomic index (0.7-points)) that makeup the PWBI experienced a decline while, other indicators (Standard of living (2.5-points), Health (1.5-points),Personal security (0.8-point), Religion (2.1-point), Social interaction (2.2-points))experienced an increase in the month of January 2015.
More findings from yearly trend analysis show that the NOIPolls PWBI experienced an increase of 3.7-points and4.7-points when current result is compared with January 2013 and 2014 respectively, hence,making it the highest NOIPolls PWBI point attained since the commencement of the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index.
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The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index for January 2015 decreased to 61.4-points. This figure represents a6-points decrease from December 2014, although, it shows relative satisfaction and also implies that Nigerians are positive about their current situation.
The NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index is made-up of 2 independent variables; the Present Situation Index(PSI) and Expectation Index (EI). The PSI decreased by a huge 22.2-points to stand at 37.6-points, revealing that Nigerians are not confident of the present economic situation. Also, the EI increased by a significant 6.2-points to currently stand at 79.2-points, implying that consumers are hopeful of a promising future.
Trend analysis reveals that the overall CCI declined by 6-point to 61.4-points in January 2015 when compared to December 2014.
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In conclusion, current results have shown that the NOIPolls Personal Well-Being Index (PWBI) increased by 1-points to stand at 47.7-points in January 2015, with a decline in two of the indicators that make up the PWBI. Comparably, the NOIPolls Consumer Confidence Index for January 2015 decreased by 6-point to stand at 61.4-points. More findings reveal that the Present Situation Index (PSI) decreased by 22.2-points while, the Expectation Index (EI) decreased by 6.2-point in January 2015.
The Personal Well-Being Index and Consumer Confidence Index Polls were conducted in the month of January2015. The PWBI involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise - within a range of plus or minus 3%.
In addition the CCI involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 4,000 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise - within a range of plus or minus 2%. NOIPolls Limited, No1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com
This press release has been produced by NOIPolls Limited to provide information on all issues which form the subject matter of the document. Kindly note that while we are willing to share results from our polls with the general public, we only request that NOIPolls be acknowledged as author whenever and wherever our poll results are used, cited or published.
NOIPolls hereby certifies that all the views expressed in this document accurately reflect its views of respondents surveyed for the poll, and background information is based on information from various sources that it believes are reliable; however, no representation is made that it is accurate or complete. Whilst reasonable care has been taken in preparing this document, no responsibility or liability is accepted for errors or fact or for any views expressed herein by NOIPolls for actions taken as a result of information provided in this report. Any ratings, forecasts, estimates, opinions or views herein constitute a judgment as at the date of this document. If the date of this document is not current, the views and content may not reflect NOIPolls’ current findings and/or thinking.